Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOGE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.071517 0.083298 0.096337 0.111830 0.129729 0.149748 0.173831
2024-10-13 0.054108 0.069819 0.088972 0.113996 0.145790 0.184799 0.236267
2024-10-20 0.041279 0.057841 0.079655 0.110399 0.152524 0.208127 0.287005
2024-10-27 0.032833 0.049307 0.072458 0.107219 0.157932 0.229040 0.336134
2024-11-03 0.028287 0.045098 0.070082 0.109691 0.170661 0.260672 0.403304
2024-11-10 0.025401 0.042713 0.069747 0.114719 0.187303 0.299424 0.485194
2024-11-17 0.022592 0.039896 0.068174 0.117334 0.200183 0.333544 0.563636
2024-11-24 0.019908 0.036800 0.065604 0.117772 0.209290 0.362332 0.636445
2024-12-01 0.017541 0.033853 0.062801 0.117285 0.216522 0.388491 0.707428
2024-12-08 0.015420 0.031007 0.059734 0.115812 0.221640 0.411297 0.774773
2024-12-15 0.014298 0.029865 0.059582 0.119580 0.236576 0.452831 0.879975
2024-12-22 0.013274 0.028754 0.059310 0.123019 0.251182 0.495135 0.990961
2024-12-29 0.012393 0.027838 0.059361 0.127220 0.268019 0.543930 1.120793
2025-01-05 0.011520 0.026813 0.059063 0.130686 0.283835 0.592549 1.255952
2025-01-12 0.010108 0.024390 0.055516 0.126852 0.284084 0.610156 1.330425
2025-01-19 0.008908 0.022260 0.052303 0.123287 0.284391 0.627767 1.406636
2025-01-26 0.008324 0.021486 0.051994 0.126138 0.299026 0.676941 1.555345
2025-02-02 0.007988 0.021263 0.052910 0.131901 0.320862 0.743865 1.749951
2025-02-09 0.007501 0.020589 0.052672 0.134897 0.336631 0.798976 1.923878
2025-02-16 0.006918 0.019576 0.051474 0.135400 0.346525 0.841780 2.074060
2025-02-23 0.006339 0.018483 0.049933 0.134842 0.353755 0.879116 2.215299
2025-03-02 0.005765 0.017316 0.048048 0.133155 0.357954 0.909665 2.343428
2025-03-09 0.005516 0.017030 0.048434 0.137468 0.377948 0.980440 2.577495